利用反预报方法从截面预言近滴线丰质子核的结合能

在Origin等数据处理软件中,当实验数据较少时,自由参数的不同初始化设置会导致较大的结果差异,这为物理结果的确定带来较大不确定性.通过最小二乘法分析了345MeV/u ~(78) Kr+~9Be反应中产生的丰质子同位素的截面和结合能,并得到线性回归方程.通过回归方程,利用结合能预报部分丰质子核素的截面,以及通过实验截面对近质子滴线核素的结合能进行反预报测量.这对于近质子滴线的丰质子核素实验测量具有较好的借鉴意义.     

线性回归分析与能源需求预测

结合实例介绍了回归模型方法在能源预测中的应用，具体地讨论了最简单、最基本的直线回归模型结构及参数估计方法，对于其他一些曲线回归模型则可通过变量代换转化为直线回归模型。     

Robustness of alternative non‐linearity tests for SETAR models

In recent years there has been a growing interest in exploiting potential forecast gains from the non‐linear structure of self‐exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models. Statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to help analysts check for the presence of SETAR‐type non‐linearities in an observed time series. It is important to study the power and robustness properties of these tests since erroneous test results might lead to misspecified prediction problems. In this paper we investigate the robustness properties of several commonly used non‐linearity tests. Both the robustness with respect to outlying observations and the robustness with respect to model specification are considered. The power comparison of these testing procedures is carried out using Monte Carlo simulation. The results indicate that all of the existing tests are not robust to outliers and model misspecification. Finally, an empirical application applies the statistical tests to stock market returns of the four little dragons (Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan) in East Asia. The non‐linearity tests fail to provide consistent conclusions most of the time. The results in this article stress the need for a more robust test for SETAR‐type non‐linearity in time series analysis and forecasting. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

动态校正的PI型广义预测控制器及其在反应釜系统中的仿真研究

提出了一种新型的广义预测控制器。由于在控制器的设计中,进行了预测误差的动态校正,并且控制器采用了比例积分型(PI)目标函数,因此该控制器对未建模动态具有很强的鲁棒性。应用低阶的模型对一个强放热的化学反应釜模型进行的仿真研究检验了该方法的有效性。     

地下洞室形状优化设计

洞室开挖会使围岩周边产生应力集中 ,产生拉应力与压应力。围岩出现拉应力对洞室稳定十分不利 ,通常通过改变洞室形状和轴比来消除围岩中的拉应力。本文提出一种使洞室拉应力σθ=0 ,而压应力最小的确定洞室最优几何形状的方法。     

蚕沙提取果胶水解环境研究

果胶的提取率和质量与水解的环境关系密切 .本文重点在蚕沙中提取果胶从产率和颜色方面对水解的环境进行一些定性和定量的研究 ,获知各水解介质采用 0 3 %的稀硫酸液、温度 70— 80℃ ,时间 1h、pH1 5 ,提取的果胶从质量和产率上较理想     

Finding finer functions for partially characterized proteins by protein-protein interaction networks

Based on high-throughput data, numerous algorithms have been designed to find functions of novel proteins. However, the effectiveness of such algorithms is currently limited by some fundamental factors, including (1) the low a-priori probability of novel proteins participating in a detailed function; (2) the huge false data present in high-throughput datasets; (3) the incomplete data coverage of functional classes; (4) the abundant but heterogeneous negative samples for training the algorithms; and (5) the lack of detailed functional knowledge for training algorithms. Here, for partially characterized proteins, we suggest an approach to finding their finer functions based on protein interaction sub-networks or gene expression patterns, defined in function-specific subspaces. The proposed approach can lessen the above-mentioned problems by properly defining the prediction range and functionally filtering the noisy data, and thus can efficiently find proteins’ novel functions. For thousands of yeast and human proteins partially characterized, it is able to reliably find their finer functions (e.g., the translational functions) with more than 90% precision. The predicted finer functions are highly valuable both for guiding the follow-up wet-lab validation and for providing the necessary data for training algorithms to learn other proteins.     

The controlling factors and distribution prediction of H2S formation in marine carbonate gas reservoir, China

Generally, there are some anhydrites in carbonate reservoir, as H2S is also familiar in carbonate oil and gas reservoirs. Nowadays, natural gas with high H2S concentration is usually considered as TSR origin, so there is close relationship between H2S and anhydrite. On the contrary, some carbonate rocks with anhydrite do not contain H2S. Recently, researches show that H2S is only a necessary condition of H2S formation. The reservoir porosity, sulfate ion content within formation water, reservoir temperature, oil/gas and water interface, hydrocarbon and some elements of reservoir rock have great controlling effects on the TSR occurrence. TSR deoxidizes hydrocarbon into the acidic gas such as H2S and CO2, and the H2S formation is controlled by TSR occurrence, so the relationship among reaction room, the contact chance of sulfate ion and hydrocarbon, the reservoir temperature has great influence on the TSR reaction. H2S has relatively active chemical quality, so it is still controlled by the content of heavy metal ion. Good conditions of TSR reaction and H2S preservation are the prerequisite of H2S distribu- tion prediction. This paper builds a predictive model based on the characteristic of natural gas reservoir with high H2S-bearing. In the porosity reservoir with anhydrite, the formation water is rich in sulfate and poor in heavy metal ion. Oil and gas fill and accumulate in the gas reservoir with good preservation conditions, and they suffered high temperature later, which indicates the profitable area of natural gas with high H2S-bearing.